Brexit ahead, but lead narrows as Britain’s older voters get off the Euro fenceWednesday 27 April 2016
• One in seven still to make their mind up • Nine out of ten over 50s plan to vote in the Referendum
Brexit ahead, but lead narrows as Britain’s older voters get off the Euro fence
A Saga poll of 8,896 over 50s indicates that support for Brexit is growing.
The latest poll shows that 41% would vote for the UK to remain a member of the European Union in June’s Referendum – up from 38.5% in March. Support for Brexit also nudged up by half a point to 45%. It appears that people are becoming more certain as those who are undecided fell from 17% to 14%.
Whilst there has been no change in the intention of male respondents, with 48% favouring Leave whilst those opting for Remain rose 2% to 42%; women have become less Eurosceptic - with 41% favouring Remain (up 4% on last month) and 41% supporting Brexit (up 1%).
Older voters are now starting to get off the Euro fence. The latest survey shows 10% of men (down 3% on last month), 18% of women (down 5%) said they had still to decide how to vote.
The highest support for the UK to remain is amongst socio-economic groups AB (48%) and the lowest is amongst those in groups C2 and DE (23%). Conversely the highest support for Brexit is amongst those in socio-economic group DE - at 60% and lowest amongst the ABs (40%).
Scotland is firmly pro-EU with 56% supporting Remain vs 30% favouring Leave and London (49% vs 40%). All other regions have a pro Brexit majority.
Saga’s director of communications Paul Green said:
“It appears that Britain’s older voters are starting to become firmer in their opinions with fewer undecided. Whilst support for both Brexit and Remain have increased – support for Remain has grown faster which has cut the Brexit lead from 6% to 4% amongst Britain older voters. So there is still all to play for in the countdown to the Referundum on 23rd June.”
Notes to editors:
EU voting intentions research carried out by Saga Populus Poll of 8,896 over 50s online between 18th and 26th April 2016.
Propensity to vote research carried out by Populus Poll of 2,006, representative of all GB adults online between 11th and 13th September 2015. 93% of the over 50s plan to vote in the referendum, compared to 76% of those aged 18-49.
IN OUT Don’t Know Country
40% 46% 14% England
44% 47% 9% Wales
56% 30% 14% Scotland
45% 46% 9% Northern Ireland
IN OUT Don’t Know Socio-economic group
48% 40% 12% AB
38% 48% 14% C1
23% 59% 18% C2
23% 60% 17% DE
IN OUT Don’t Know Region
49% 40% 12% London
39% 47% 13% South East
38% 46% 15% South West
40% 46% 14% West Midlands
36% 50% 15% East Midlands
42% 44% 14% North West
36% 50% 14% North East
41% 45% 14% Yorkshire
38% 49% 13% East Anglia
IN OUT Don’t Know Age
43% 40% 17% 50s
43% 44% 13% 60s
39% 49% 13% 70s
40% 47% 13% 80s
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